毕业

等待了已久，青春飞扬，到处流溢着分离气息的季节即将来临。3年的情谊浓情似水，感谢你们出现在我的世界里，让我学到很多东西，分享很多的快乐。可再见又是几何 ？

没有毕业的时候，我们一直憧憬这样的日子；而毕业了，我们却又不断的回忆… ... 毕业不
“再见”，看似两个非常简单的字眼，但对于我来说可是一种承诺。

毕业，这两个字看上去是多么的简单，但它可是背负了一个承诺啊！

我不敢说“再见”，因为说了，就有了期待，当期待落空了，人也会跟着消沉。所以，只说谢谢。。。。。。。谢谢大家的陪伴，谢谢上天赐我一位善解人意的女友，谢谢缘份让我和我哥-宏威相遇（不同姓），谢谢让我遇到了两名好室友-书俊和奕达，谢谢我教授的指点，无尽的谢谢要说。。。

千言万语，就让我们在十月五日见面时一解思愁吧！

保重！

AmBank fast-tracking growth areas

THE AmBank group, which recently crossed its second year of partnership with the Australia and New Zealand (ANZ) banking group, is poised for further fast-tracking of its strong areas in retail, business and investment banking.

“ANZ has, to date, provided expert assistance in a number of areas including retail banking, risk management, channel development, product innovation and financial management,’’ says AmBank chairman Tan Sri Azman Hashim.

In fact, with the technical expertise of ANZ, a foreign exchange and derivatives unit had been set up and is expected to contribute to the new revenue sources of the group.

Looking further, the 34-year-old AmBank group will have ample opportunities to leverage and expand its cross-border businesses, moving forward, with ANZ’s current regional footprint and the stronger strategic intent for growth in the Asia-Pacific.

Azman sees a trend of increasing overseas expansion for local banks. This is especially so with competition heating up and saturation of the domestic market with the entrance of world-class players following the financial sector liberalisation.

The group’s current overseas presence is through AmInvestment Bank in Singapore, Brunei and Jakarta. “In the longer run, we plan to increase contributions from our foreign operations via asset and wealth management businesses,’’ Azman says.

The Brunei operations were set up towards late last year and is in the midst of introducing sukuk and business advisory solutions while seeking an Islamic banking licence. The group is the fifth largest banking group by total assets and ranks fourth in retail banking.

In investment banking, it is among the top five for funds under management, ringgit bonds, and mergers and acquisitions league tables.

Under the group’s medium-term aspirations, it aims to, among other things, double the 2007 profit after tax and enhance dividend payout to be at least on par with the industry average. “We acknowledge that these aspirations will take longer to achieve given the material changes in the macro-economic conditions,’’ Azman says.

Nevertheless, the execution of strategic themes involving profitable growth and portfolio rebalancing since early last year has provided the group with a good headstart,’’ he says.

In view of the current sluggish economic outlook, enhanced credit control, new risk scorecards and methodologies as well as collections and recoveries management will receive heightened focus in the coming year.

The group’s current focus is on domestic operations and growing its nationwide distribution network at a moderate pace with emphasis on faster growth of deposits and other income; sustained growth in lending as well as better sales and service capabilities.

With a network of 187 branches, the group is backed by automated teller machines which are also installed at 7-Eleven outlets. In addition to weekend and extended hours banking, market reach is widened via the Internet and mobile banking as well as its 24-hour contact centre.

Retail banking, in which the AmBank group has a strong brand franchise, aims to sustain growth via its focus on businesses with higher returns and superior customer service.

Business banking, another strong area for the group, will look into the realigning of lending to more stable economic segments such as agriculture, oil and gas, medical, fast-moving consumer goods, the broad property sector and contract financing.

“Action plans are in place to conserve existing customer relationships and cautiously acquire new businesses,’’ Azman says.

Investment banking is being repositioned towards customerbased acitivities in the local and regional markets. These include cross-selling of institutional products, corporate and institutional lending, Islamic finance and Islamic fund management opportunities.

In the debt capital market, focus will be on higher grade credit bond origination, utilities and infrastructure programmes.

A new area, called relationship banking and regional business, aims for higher thrust into advisory work, retainer fees, fund-of-funds model (an investment fund that holds a portfolio of other investment funds), Islamic banking for international businesses and project financing for government support.

The life insurance segment will focus on improving capital management and asset liability practices as well as sales and operational efficiencies.

The general life insurance side will look into enhancements to customer segmentation analytics for the motor business, developing alternative channels for non-motor, rationalising the branch operating model and centralising work processes.

The increase in equity from 19% to 49% in the general insurance arm, AmG Insurance Bhd, by Insurance Australia Group and the acquisition of 30% in the life insurance arm, AmLife Insurance Bhd, by Friends Provident plc are expected to bring about greater transfer of knowledge and skills.

“In future, the banking industry is expected to grow in sophistication to be on par or better than the best international practices,’’ says Azman.

Among other things, these best practices include product and service innovation, income diversification, customer service excellence, information technology and automation.

Retrieved from http://biz.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?file=/2009/8/8/business/4426778&sec=business

The false appearence on bull market

Recently, many local economy review and regional stock market price and capitalization weight has shown the economy was on the path of recovery and bullish market is coming. This is a good news that every investors be keen to hear and this is the ONLY good news what we have currently. What i can capture on what has happened on our planet economy is the economic stimulus packages that worth 14 million US Dollar has worsen the US economy structure, instead Asian economy recovery has been expected to become the "medicine" to accelerate world's consumption.

Even Asian economy performance has become first light of morning for global economy recovery, but we still can't too optimistic. There are 2 sakes here: First, governmental over expansionary budgetary policies, implemented together with approach zero nominal interest rate, failure to regain the global's demand. Second, excessive cash flow inject into financial market is probably to prompt up the asset price bubbles, and lead to false appearence on the economy.

Some of the economicts have retract theirs opinion on the types of our economy recovery process from "W" & "L" form, to "V" recovery and has proposed that even the risk on economy recovery has been scatter, but the central bank on this planet should need to retain the expansionary monetary and budgetary policies since they have viewed positive growth of the second quaters Korean and China GDP. Indeed, it is a fact that we may to worry.

Massive expansionary policies and market stimulus packages which implemented by China has lead to market bubbles and publics over heated market sentiment has worsen the condition. Every investors and consumers be keen to listen to China's bullish market (false appearence) news. But it is not a great medicine for China's economy. It is because the bullish sign of the stock market also can't reduce the degree of high dependent on the export to abroad. The bullish sign of the stock market is just merely an outcome of increase the governmental liability to foster up such short-term prosperity. This is a common phenomena facing by Asian now.

Monetary policy just can be a supplement to the budgetary policy. Asian's recovery sign is thanks to the consecutive economy stimulus packages outcome. But, the effect will scatter following with time. At this moment, the central bank should decrease the interest rate to prop up the market. It is just a temporary scheme, and merely alleviate the symptoms and not can't cure the root. It just will cause economy sink into asset price bubbles and traps, but it seems like economy growth. The optimistic expectation on Asian economy recovery by "V" shape , has foment the assets price bubbles trap.

Our mess educational policy - teaching M&S in english

It is really a bored and stupid topic for me but it had been arguing and hoo-ha for five years long. To be frank and open with you, i still misunderstanding with the "value" of it has become a "hot topic" to be discussed. Is it economically for us to continue this bad policy? I strongly stand on my own opinion -"NO". For me, it is a "poisonous asset" that had left by our foolish former prime minister - Dr. M (I no need mention his name clearly, otherwise i will be arrested under ISA probably...haha). We have spent too much effort and time for this uneconomically policy and it must be rectified immediately. Not i disagree with M&S taught in English, but what i would like to stress here is whether our nation will advance from upper middle income to high income or developed country is not solely depend on which language has been applied in teaching, but is more than that. Healthy economy structure & policies, transparency of administration of justice and anti-corruption mechanism, high politician's aspiration, social welfare, government servant efficiency and so on are an essentials that need to consider too. Maybe there will have many peoples are preparing to oppose with what i am talking nonsense here, but those are welcome! We may can have a drink and debate on this issue. I know many peoples will take Singaporean's success story as an example on this issue on the language they base onto. I have to admit that Singaporean's English proficiency is much more better than Malaysian, but we must look in macro perspective and don't forget that the safety environment, transparency in justiciary and anti-corruption, positive working attitude and strong desire to achieve excellent (Kia-shu) also are the factors that prop up the Singaporean legend, it is a special case. How about the other Asian countries - Philipina & India where widely use English as a medium in teaching and communication? Both of this countries were also categorized as low income and low living standard country. So, it has proven that language was not the only proximate cause to determine a country achievement and it is no any direct correlation between this two variables. It is OK if you give the sake that it is aimed to improve students English proficiency. We must back to the root of the problems. We knew that most of the Malaysians English level whether in speaking, writing and understanding skills alike are in "private limited company" standard (include myself). So, why not we just extend the duration of English language subject in school, introduce the English Literature subject in the early age of school , widen the scope of subjects to be taught in English and put more efforts on how to promote and make English usage practically & effectively? Do you think that the idea to make M&S to be taught in English will improve student's English grammar command? Sorry, i not think so! The crux of the problems here is some of the racialist play a political game on this issue to obtain their self-interest and it is a sorrow for Malaysian actually. It is unjust and unfair for us to bear the social cost due to an inappropriate policies by racialist policymaker-Dr. M. But fortunately, two weeks ago, our educational minister-Muhyiddin Yassin had announced to reform and reevaluate the overall teaching Mathematics and Sciences in English language effectiveness. Well, it is really a bold move for Malaysian politician, i think we should praise him loudly of his courage to abolish Dr. M's policies (In fact, Dr. M until now still deems with what he has done was benefit to our next generation) and many organization has welcome to this good move. But i personally feel that our regardful BN minister still chaos on their standpoint on this issue. It is because i can't see the blueprint of the suggestion- primary school - M&S to be taught in Bahasa Malaysia, secondary school - re-change to Bahasa Inggeris again. I am really confusing with our minister, i think it is more proper to call them as innovationist. If they really feel English is important, (indeed, it is very important) so, go ahead la and please be more enchantment to ensure the policy to be implemented effectively and has started from primary school to university level, and cover all subjects and not merely M&S. It is quiet ridiculous if the policy change and change again and give the reason that they are worry about their mother language will varnish from this world. We will always at spiral and seem like an experimental rat. Otherwise, it will encumber our nation productivity and contract our economic competitiveness. Remember, the education is the basic of quality and productive human resourse and to long term economy growth .

I feel that our government too rush to run this policy without a proper evaluation mechanism and Dr. M must responsible on the social cost which arised.

An advisory statement for central bank

Nowadays, the globe economy especially US economy is seems like suffering a "pestilence" - sink into a boundless asset price bubbles trap and it has caused a mass credit fault and bubbles and the inappropriate policy has worsen the condition that we facing now.

Once our financial structure is unstable and into booms and busts cyclical, all participants in the economy must recognize the fact that: using any monetary and budgetary policy to ameliorate or eradicate any deflation phenomena is not a probably and an unreasonable action. Instead, the central bank on this planet should back to its core value - to regulate the proceeding of credit creation meanwhile, foster up the high pressure combat mechanism, be sure so not to obey to the government and private sectors needs to continue the expansionary credit easing to accelerate the unhealthy economy activities. If the expansionary credit creation persists, pernicious business cycle will not only unbounded but it also will encumber our world's economy.

I personally believe that our financial system is not operate on the basic of Efficient Market Hypothesis(proposed by classical economist), but it will collapse follow with the main classical economy theories. The Efficient Market Hypothesis has suggested that our financial market was like a tractable animal, it will calm once you ignore it and it will reach an equilibratory condition automatically. In fact, our financial market's nature is unstable; no any equilibrant force can we rely on; instead, it has its inertia force which will prompt up the booms and busts cyclical to disrupt our economy structure. What i would like to emphasize here is only credit creation regulation imposed by central bank will able to control its unstable nature. Unfortunately, the historical experience has proven that the monetary policy implemented by central bank was probably changed along with time, and has enlarge the booms and busts cyclical, waver our economy health structure.

I would like to take this opportunity to blame on the expansionary monetary policy which implemented by US Federal Reserve (Fed), it has lead US fall into a consecutive expansionary credit cycle. I bold to say, if US still deem that they are in the right way of making a proper decision in order to move the economy onto recovery path, it will harm and alter the US as a world economy leading position.

Stagflation is coming soon...

Is big inflation coming? I think this may be a jest and is an unquestioned trouble for many others people because of their narrowed horizontal on economy forecast and background. Many peoples have said to me before "It not should be a main concern in this special moment" and "no others matter rather than pumping money into market to recover our nation's economy from consecutive downturn". I personally feel that the next challenge we need to deal with is not merely an inflation, but is Stagflation.

The bulls and bears are now are the most critical point that they have had in years for the global markets and economy. What we are experiencing today or going to face is the most devastating economic scenario, namely, rising prices in a deflationary environment isn't in a typical sense.

I personally feel that the governments on this planet especially with Obama regime, printing more artificial money than ever, they have been creating a more larger monster for the world to deal with and the side effects are already showing up. What are they doing today to reviving economy's vigor from deflationary mires is matching with what stated in Keynesian ideology by inject and speed up the cash flow into financial market, even making an unproductive investment in an unproductive sectors.

The worst is over but the world is still in a deep recession and we aren't probably even in the middle of the recovery path. Based on past experience, it's need to take 24 months to back our economy onto the correct path. Therefore, my own belief is that the global economy has largely stabilised if compared with 1997/1998 Asean Financial Crisis and it will recover end of this year.

Unfortunately, i also remain convinced that it will just for temporary moment, afterward it will fall agains - W-shaped recovering model appearance, and not V-shaped recovery. Every government on the planet is trying to stretch things out in the hope the time will resolve the problems. A V-shaped recovery is simply a myth promoted by the shills working for brokerage firms especially in property sectors.

One important things i would like to stress here is in this under global mess under over printing artificial money, the global stock market are more overvalued than before. The liquidity wave that central bank unleashed since the financial crisis happened is floating our whole economy's structure. The argument that we are hearing from some of the best mind in financial market is that we will see a new secular bull market in Malaysia regardless of what is going to happen in US market. That's really a bold call! Please... when you are talking to economics, don't quote stock market as a primary indicator to gauge the actual strength of our nation economy. Remember, the overheating in our capital market should be seen as an another concedely problems - over excess money in capital market will lead to asset bubbled, commodities price are rising. In particular, fuel prices have been rising mostly because of leveraged positive feedback speculative assets bubbles. All these will move our economy into inflationary pressure later.

Many people strongly believe that economy are onto the recovery path by looking on many manufacturing mills restart their daily operation. It is just temporary and due to inventory goods has finished. I don't think that this phenomena is caused by excess demand in market. It can proved by consecutive high unemployment rate and consumer's willingness to purchase are still in dim outlook although the figure has shown there are increasing in confidence our economy recovery from end of this year. It's because through the bigger financial meltdown after postwar in this case, much more consumers started realize the importance of saving.

Indeed, risk to growth is still high. I believe that growth in dosmestic demand continuelly expected to suffer an unpronounced slowdown, to dip into the negative slowdown trajectory. Private expenditure is expected to perform badly. Exports will face an intensified contraction from the sluggish American economy outlook. Once our labor market conditions remain weak, American economy continuely in dim outlook (our export will be contracted) and the side effect of excessive money flow in market ferment later, it is the right time for all reckless policymaker to confront with a more devasting scnerio - Stagflation, and it is inevitable.

一个马来西亚？？？

纳吉，就任我国首相已快两个月了！依照政治惯例，一个领袖新上台，凭有享受100天的政治蜜月期，但我在这，提早宣告纳吉的政治蜜月期已结束，所以是时候开始好好检验纳吉的执政方向和至今所推出的政策了。

有某某政治评论家说，在纳吉的部落格细节中，可以间接反映新首相有意走亲民作风，第二任首相敦拉萨以一丝不苟、注重绩效闻名。纳吉从小耳濡目染的情况下，一定会承继其父的一些作风和治国理念。真是可耻，难道一国宰相该做的只不过是亲民，回顾1970年，一上位的敦拉萨，在其就职礼上（1970年9月22日），明确地指出：“这个政府是基于巫统组成的，我以此权力赋予巫统，以使巫统来决定其形式——政府必须依随巫统的要求和愿望—它所执行的政策必须由巫统来决定。这一“以党治国”的理念也在后来孕育了“一党独大”的心态，这算什么权力分享理念？要是纳吉真的从小就耳濡目染的情况下Copy 起先父的执政大方针，我国不只民主倒退，也将走回头路，采纳旧时代不合时宜的作风与政策。论最基本的，究竟纳吉是左翼还是右翼，至今还没人摸得出他实际的政治动向，就连美国长期研究马来西亚政治的学者也摸不出头绪，只因从他从政至今，没有明显的政治理念（他老爸可是中间偏左的政治立场）。他所推出的执政理念 —— 《一个马来西亚》，愿与民联开闭门会议，谈判，商讨何决绝霹雳州的宪法和政治危机，也只不过是因目前整个政治大环境所逼的而已，究竟他葫子里卖什么药，事实上没人晓得，包括巫统党内。。。他也可能只不过利用与民联的谈判，增加自己日后的政治筹码，塑造出“非一般”过气巫统领袖 （如马哈迪尔的强硬作风，一改阿都拉的软弱风格）来塑造自己的执政手腕，特质。纳吉一上台，就喊着要打塑造出一个全新的马来西亚，来个大改革，有个新气象，但依我看来，纳吉目前首当其冲的首要任务，应该是团结巫统，按奈各党派势力吧，从巫统党选到内阁改组，根本看不出纳吉有那个政治意愿来个巫统大改革，内阁大改组，他进行的只不过是打地鼠似的改革动作，他的左靠阿都拉，右靠马哈迪尔，可以从内阁改组里观察的到。说到最后，还只不过是要按奈国阵成员党爆发出走潮和巩固自己在党内的势力，这是哪门子的改革？什么新气象？

接下来纳吉又推出了他所谓的政治理念，———— 《一个马来西亚 ONE MALAYSIA》 的口号。假如各位记忆还悠新的话，因该还记得马哈蒂尔时代所推出的竞选口号吧 ———— 《马来西亚民族;MASYARAKAT KEBANGSAAN》，　《宏愿2020;WAWASAN 2020》马哈蒂尔算比较聪明些，至少他退出的口号较明显　ＭＡＳＹＡＲＡＫＡＴ　ＫＥＢＡＮＧＳＡＡＮ就是要我们不分彼此，不管是华人，马来人，印度人，都共同认定自己就是马来西亚人，至于宏愿２０２０，　老马把时限拉长自２０２０，他已下台了，２０２０年他可能不再这世间了，达不达成他的他所设的目标已不是他的责任，负责的是他接下来的接班人。幸运达成的话，他将名流千古，世人将认为他是一位有远见的一名领袖，达不成的话顶多一声ｓｏｒｒｙ，把责任推得一干二净，说当初我接下来的接班领袖依照执行我之前所推出来的政策的，及忠言孽耳的话，就。。。。。。他更聪明的，是为他退位时找到了一个很好的平台给他“为所欲言”，道着什么是为国家前途着想，但我的接班人却与我背道而驰。

回头看看纳吉的口号，简直是荒唐到极点！什么一个马来西亚的。。。当然只有一个马来西亚啦！！！难不成世界上还有第二个马来西亚吗？你去找找，有点话我向你磕头！他这口号不只说给本国人民听，而且也听入各国领袖和平民老百姓耳里了。这种口号好比向世界宣战，世界只有一个马来西亚，要统一各国为我国领土似的。简直有如白痴在乱讲话。这可是他的一大败笔！所以我说他的蜜月期该提早结束了。他这口号象征着什么？他本身与他的幕僚并非有什么战略纵深思考，而是在玩弄文字游戏，过去马哈蒂尔这样做，也很成功，但这一次一定会碰壁。这种执政理念还不如民主行动党的《马来西亚人优先；MALAYSIAN FIRST》。

今天就到此为止，纳吉接下来会有什么作为，大家似目以待吧！我希望在野党，媒体们好好鞭策纳吉接下不懂又将冒出什么奇奇怪怪的手段和政策了。